Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung lead global memory chip "super cycle", AI demand drives capacity tightness
Currently, the global memory chip market is dominated by Micron Technology and South Korean competitors SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. These three companies prioritize the production of high-end memory chips required for AI computing infrastructure, leading to supply shortages for traditional memory chips used in PCs and smartphones.
The global memory chip market is experiencing a severe supply-demand imbalance, often referred to as a "super cycle." According to TrendForce data, global server shipments are expected to grow by 12.8% year-over-year in 2026, with AI server shipments increasing by over 28% annually. The contract prices of DRAM and NAND Flash continue to rise. The memory industrys output value is projected to grow by 134% year-over-year to $551.6 billion in 2026, and by another 53% to $842.7 billion in 2027.
In response to this booming market, Sassine Ghazi, CEO of EDA giant Synopsys, stated that the chip shortage is expected to persist through 2026 and 2027, primarily due to unprecedented demand for memory chips driven by AI infrastructure, while capacity expansion requires at least two years.
Micron Technology also predicted in its Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings report that the tight supply in the memory market will continue beyond 2026. The total addressable market for HBM is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 40%, from about $35 billion in 2025 to around $100 billion in 2028.
On Wall Street, investment firms such as Goldman Sachs and Nomura believe the global memory market is experiencing a "triple super cycle," with demand for DRAM, NAND, and HBM surging simultaneously, a trend expected to continue through 2027.
Micron Technologys Expansion Plans
Microns new NAND flash memory wafer fab in Singapore is expected to commence production in the second half of 2028, with a total investment of approximately $24 billion. It will provide about 700,000 square feet of cleanroom space and create around 1,600 jobs. Additionally, Micron is building a $7 billion advanced packaging facility in Singapore, dedicated to producing HBM for AI chips, with production expected to begin in 2027.
SK Hynix and Samsung Developments
SK Hynix is accelerating capacity expansion, advancing the start of production at one new fab by three months and beginning operations at another fab in February. SK Hynix has become the exclusive supplier of HBM3E memory for Microsofts AI chip, Maia 200, which features six 12-layer HBM3E modules with a total capacity of 216GB.
Meanwhile, Samsung Electronics raised NAND flash prices by more than 100% in the first quarter of this year, highlighting the tight supply-demand situation in the global memory chip market.
Overall, global memory chip giants are addressing the high-growth demand driven by AI through massive investments and capacity expansion. As the DRAM, NAND, and HBM markets simultaneously heat up, the memory chip industrys "super cycle" is expected to last through 2027, presenting immense market potential.